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Operation ZAP: Construct Prize Box

35 replies [Last post]
Wed, 10/01/2014 - 12:02
Flowchart's picture
Flowchart

You must construct additional pylons.

cue more complaining.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 12:04
#1
Fangel's picture
Fangel
Wait seriously

Construct prize boxes?

Three Rings I haven't gotten my paycheck yet, pls spare me my wallet.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 12:11
#2
Petater's picture
Petater

%1 rate for the good stuff? K thx no

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 12:11
#3
Noxiousnarwhal's picture
Noxiousnarwhal
You called for complaints?

With that many 1% items, they really might want to consider expanding the 1% tier to be 2-3% instead... we may never even see some of the items on that list just because of the abysmal chance.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 12:24
#4
Holy-Nightmare's picture
Holy-Nightmare
what is there to complain about?

New models? no pay to get weapons? 100% chance for something new?

Only Fangel has a real complaint...

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 12:23
#5
Ironclaw-Mender's picture
Ironclaw-Mender
­

wtf is this

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 12:24
#6
Midnight-Dj's picture
Midnight-Dj
:/

Yeah, no thnx OOO, I have already completed my sunlight knightess set with a 500K budget, I never wanted to be a robot anyway...

What is next? Knights dressed up as deadnaughts and dust zombies? Oh crap, I just gave OOO new promo ideas didn't I?

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 12:41
#7
Fangel's picture
Fangel
Well Three Rings got $20 from me before I looked

I didn't even look at the chances I just bought 5 boxes. Three Rings, this is what you do to me when you bring constructs into the picture.

Shame you didn't bring the gun puppy drakon back as well though. That would've been good for this.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 13:18
#8
Fehzor's picture
Fehzor
The Joker is my favorite super hero. <69

Before: "Oh cool, a wind up key. I could see myself getting one of those........"
After: "500 dollars in per windup key/gear halo/pylon out. I can no longer see myself getting one of those."

I will say that all of this looks pretty nice, and that you guys have really done a good job on that at least.

But the odds really are a bit discouraging, when at 1%, each of those has a 1/21 * 1/100 = 1/2100 chance of coming out of any given prize box. It's almost certain that one or more of those will not exist by the end of the event. I mean I guess it's whatever makes the most money, but it's actually impossible to win a pylon using money alone.

The expected number of prize boxes to get one is 2,100. If you sell the contents, you're most likely to get a good 20 of the other 1/2100 items, as well as about 1470 bad sets and around 630 worthwhile sets due to the 3/70 split between the good the bad and the ugly in this box, so if you sold those contents for high enough then you could support your unboxing habit long enough to open 10,000 dollars of prize boxes on your 600 dollar budget. I guess the real wall would be finding others to buy boxes from, which would really hinder your unboxing habits.

EDIT:
I calculated the odds of any one item not existing per given numbers of prize boxes opened, since we'll never know how many boxes are opened publically.
1,000: Almost certain that one will be missing.
3,000: 97%
5,000: 82%
10,000: 30%
15,000: 8%
20,000: They'll all be there >99% of the time.
Calculation: CumulativeBinomial(1 win with odds of (1-CumulativeBinomial(1 win with odds of 1/2100 given n trials)) given 21 trials)
I.E. The chance of an accessory not being put in game is (1-CumulativeBinomial(1 win with odds of 1/2100 given n trials))
We just need to calculate the odds of this failing once in 21 trials

I mean, I could be way out of the ballpark. They *could* be selling 100,000,000 prize boxes each event... I just hope the pylon accessory never makes it in game due to the general absentmindednss of these odds. That would be hularious. And HAH. Fangel over there opening boxes like never tell me the odds. WELL I DID.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 13:22
#9
Dibsville's picture
Dibsville

[more complaining]

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 13:27
#10
Paintool's picture
Paintool
What do pylons even look

What do pylons even look like?

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 13:31
#11
Holy-Nightmare's picture
Holy-Nightmare
@ Paintool

Steel lattice structure, think Eiffel tower

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 13:41
#12
Zan-Euro's picture
Zan-Euro
ok, that's it.

i have been rly patient with update waiting, but that's it.
i quit.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 13:57
#13
Noxiousnarwhal's picture
Noxiousnarwhal
Through some miraculous turn

Through some miraculous turn of RNGsus, pylons have been unboxed by someone. We're done here everyone, you can stop opening boxes now.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 14:08
#14
Silverdeoxys's picture
Silverdeoxys
I already quit the game last

I already quit the game last event after I beat the game and got BKC, so uh

almost as bad as gremlin promo

be grateful it's not

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 14:39
#15
Ironclaw-Mender's picture
Ironclaw-Mender
­

"almost as bad as gremlin promo"

don't

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 14:44
#16
Whimsicality's picture
Whimsicality

$5 says those Pylons wind up on something it looks horrible on.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 15:21
#17
Fehzor's picture
Fehzor

@Silverdeoxys

This is waaaaaaaaaay nicer than the gremlin promo... or at least it looks that way so far, and the prize boxes are full of nicer things, even if SEGA is off their rocker with this 1/2100 chance business. I suppose it could be distributed differently within the 1%? But then why bother telling us...

And don't leave. I like you.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 15:27
#18
Jabbzz's picture
Jabbzz
Oh look, a new promo

Well this looks, *looks at promo details and percentage chances*. . . really now. . . k den.

*sighs deeply and walks away*

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 15:52
#19
Biggymoore's picture
Biggymoore
Flowchart!!

Didnt know you played Starcraft

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 15:55
#20
Feline-Grenadier's picture
Feline-Grenadier
Eh...

I don't really care if OOO is biding their time with the next update, but if they are going to do spammy promos, I'd rather be interested in a new Maskeraith skin. Sera's have a Black Kat version, Drakons have a gun puppy, and we're all out of variety on a third pet. Then again, ZAP seems a little too similar to THWACK, so nah...

(Secretly hopes for Greaver / Silkwing Masky Skin.)

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 16:47
#21
Golden-Crusaderr's picture
Golden-Crusaderr
maybe...

Just maybe it's expanding the story line and leading to a big update that would be great with new levels and

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 17:18
#22
Flowchart's picture
Flowchart

never played Starcraft actually Biggymoore, just know too many internet memes

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 17:21
#23
Bopp's picture
Bopp
all cosmetic

Everything in this promotion is purely cosmetic, right? Then the average player should be pleased. Players who have extra money and are interested in looks get to spend their money to support the game. And the rest of us don't have to spend anything, and aren't at any practical disadvantage.

As far as I can tell, the time to be upset is when there's a promotion that has a practical effect (Overcharged Mixmaster, maybe Celestial Saber, etc.).

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 17:27
#24
Fangel's picture
Fangel
Well uh...

I don't spend thousands of dollars on each promotion. I mean, I'm only spending about 3 hours of my time on the boxes I bought after taxes.

But lo and behold RNG decided to bless me with a volcanic gear halo, so I guess it was worth it.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 18:01
#25
Silverdeoxys's picture
Silverdeoxys
@Fehzor

I was thinking about returning for the Dark Harvest Festival to farm out some boxes and costumes, though. We could get some candy together if you'd like~

"Hey, kid, want some candy?"

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 18:08
#26
Pandafishie's picture
Pandafishie

The Promo Image

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 21:25
#27
Jendar-Nox's picture
Jendar-Nox
...

Either these are costumes for knights who lost their arms and legs in the battle, or the knights can really attach to themselves any kind of body they want.

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 21:46
#28
Flowchart's picture
Flowchart

We have a peg leg suit (these mecha suits), eyepatches (Desna's) and pirate hat (quick reskin of tricorne). Pirate promo anyone?

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 22:37
#29
Gbot-Vtwo's picture
Gbot-Vtwo
FNAF!

Please Pirate promo. So we can make a Foxxy costume(FNAF)!

Wed, 10/01/2014 - 23:39
#30
The-Big-Wallet's picture
The-Big-Wallet
Hmm, I've fought worse

IDK about you guys, buy i really like this promo...

Thu, 10/02/2014 - 04:48
#31
Ill-Fate-Ill's picture
Ill-Fate-Ill

Lost an arm or leg? The whole body's gone. Look it's just a rod and a couple of plates.

Thu, 10/02/2014 - 06:10
#32
Kraanx's picture
Kraanx
beep boop,maggot

Is it just me or does equipping a mecha costume set with the correct color, an iron buckler and a bolted blade or edge sword give you a guaranteed chance that your team is going to try to hack you to death on deconstruction zones?

Thu, 10/02/2014 - 12:50
#33
Hero-Of-Cheese's picture
Hero-Of-Cheese
You can pay with cheese right?

Stuff looks nice. Too bad I will won't be able to get any of them.

Sat, 10/04/2014 - 04:01
#34
Avihr's picture
Avihr
for the sake of swag

Just gonna drop this here

Sat, 10/04/2014 - 04:54
#35
Vohtarak-Forum's picture
Vohtarak-Forum
im vohtarak

check the wiki, the pylons look like the mercurial demo spark things (the things on the back)

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