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CE Contest

77 replies [Last post]
Sun, 07/28/2013 - 07:17
Coelydragon's picture
Coelydragon

I'm not rich, nor have I ever hosted a contest before. If anyone wants to contribute more than 10k cr as a prize I will gladly hand over my hostership of this contest to you.

CE prices are rising; that much is evident. The Guess the Battle Sprite Release Date contest failed. As a result of these two, I am creating a new contest: guess the average ratio of crowns per 100 CE after the update. The average will be determined 3-4 weeks after the update. One submission per person. Submissions closes when the update is released. Multiple submissions will be disregarded and disqualified. Go!

My guess is 12000cr per 100ce.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 07:19
#1
Bluezs's picture
Bluezs
My guess is 11k crowns per

My guess is 11k crowns per 100ce

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 07:22
#2
Solest's picture
Solest
Not quite that high

Im not gonna go quite that high. 9k seems more like what it will be to me

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 07:29
#3
Frank-Oren-Weil
hmmm... I think not so much

I think 9,5k ;)

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 07:39
#4
Krakob's picture
Krakob

Obviously 18k CR purr 100 CE. Or a potato.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 07:42
#5
Silverdeoxys's picture
Silverdeoxys
lolz

Probably wrong, but I'm hoping for 3-4k ;)

Tue, 07/30/2013 - 15:27
#6
Coelydragon's picture
Coelydragon
Organization!

Prices taken, listed below
2k from destroyerofthenort
3.5k from silverdeoxys
5k from gravelord-caste
5.5k from mega-jerk
5.9k from jabbzz
6.1k from reto-da-liz
6.2k from flaame
6.88k from xuezhou
7k from blitzhawk
7.5k from spiral-wwyvern
7.8k from saltoid
8k from kupoo
8609 from chicoy
8008 from master-user
9k from solest
9.1k from grittle
9.3k from thunder-the-bright
9.4k from soulnfinity
9.5k from orenwell
9.8k from terra-necro
9.9k from chainguy
10k from funpak
10.3k from dadric-killer
10.5k from bluencool
10.7 yasercool
11k from everything-is-blue
11.3k from javoruk
11.5k from warranty-is-voided
11.6k from canozo
12k from coelydragon
13k from shadownox
14k from skyguarder
14.5k from jean-sarkozy
14.9k from purrpal
15k from hero-of-cheese
16k from owlert
18k from krakob
20k from beware-the-reboot/deathnommer
25k from dmatter
69696 from qwote

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 08:34
#7
Klipik-Forum's picture
Klipik-Forum

"The Guess the Battle Sprite Release Date contest failed"

By that you mean everyone guessed wrong, right? They're still going to give out prizes to the winner. Who, if all goes on schedule, is Oatmonster.

...Who I think quit the game... or at least the forums.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 08:36
#8
Mega-Jerk's picture
Mega-Jerk
i'll go with 5.5k

i'll go with 5.5k

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 08:36
#9
Thunder-The-Bright's picture
Thunder-The-Bright

I'm going for 9.3k.
btw, we all should do like a bet. 1kcr each, or even 500 cr each would do as a prize.
I offer my alt as a storage bank for tis contest. don't worry, I won't scam you, really. not when there is my monsy in there too. if it gets accepted I'll handle the name over.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 08:39
#10
Skyguarder's picture
Skyguarder

With infinite farming (Especially FSC), I think prices will raise to 14k

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 08:40
#11
Dmatter's picture
Dmatter
After that it would get ridiculous, and no one would buy.

25,000 cr. A dauntless delver by my estimates.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 08:46
#12
Holy-Crab's picture
Holy-Crab
It's not gonna be hard to

I'll go for 14.5k/100.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 08:46
#13
Warranty-Is-Voided's picture
Warranty-Is-Voided
11.5k

11.5k

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 08:51
#14
Funpak's picture
Funpak
I'm guessing 10k

I'm guessing 10k

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 09:16
#15
No-Thanks
-

boo 4 just 1 numbah!

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 09:36
#16
Kupoo's picture
Kupoo
I don't think it'll get that high

We won't be able to use mist for things that require energy anymore, but at the same time, I think there will be more reason to have crowns on hand now.

I'm thinking around 8k.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 09:30
#17
Donald-Jtrump's picture
Donald-Jtrump
Same

As I was logging on I was thinking 8k also.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 13:20
#18
Shadownox's picture
Shadownox
Honk honk. Make way for the dead bunny.

13k/100

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 13:23
#19
Bluencool's picture
Bluencool
...

10.5k cr/100.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 13:26
#20
Gravelord-Caste's picture
Gravelord-Caste
Laughter is the countdown to devastation

5k/100

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 13:28
#21
Spiral-Wwyvern's picture
Spiral-Wwyvern
my guess

7.5k/100

btw my ign is Cyber-Strike-Blast

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 13:40
#22
Solest's picture
Solest
I think you for forgot to add

I think you for forgot to add me to the list. 9k

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 13:45
#23
Coelydragon's picture
Coelydragon
@solest

I am so sorry. I glanced at the avatar and thought waffleconecake.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 13:48
#24
Solest's picture
Solest
Lol

No worries.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 13:52
#25
Coelydragon's picture
Coelydragon

@klipik
...yeah

@thunder-the-bright
That's a great idea but I've already started and there's only a few days left. I wish I could but I can't. I'll try to remember that next contest.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 13:58
#26
Flaame's picture
Flaame
6.2k crowns rountabout.

6.2k crowns rountabout.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 14:06
#27
Destroyerofthenort's picture
Destroyerofthenort
firstly: ^@Coleydragon lol; secondly: My two cents

I see no reason CE prices would raise POST-update... the only reason they are on the rise now is market panick induced by the inevitable drop in value for the currency... selling while it is still valued to people who think it will rise exponentially simply because of the words: "no more mist". I actually see a pretty big dip ahead, as influenced by the obsolescence of the crystalline currency. By the time people start finding the orbs (basically on their first run made after the update), add on the removal of elevator costs, compiled with the fact that the sparks of life will mean we don't always have to pay to rev regardless of the increased rev price (basically, at this point, the only use is revving every now and then when you run out of sparks), though also accounting for the fact that they SITLL do cost real money, and people aren't likely to sell something worth real money for much lower than 1k; I am actually going to lay my 2 cents on... hmmm... between a 1.5k to 3.4k pricing range, with an average of either 2.34k at highest, or 1.66k at lowest. There are my two cents.

Hmm... maybe i am undershooting a bit... that looks pretty insignificant :P

lol3postsinthetimeittookmetowritethis

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 14:10
#28
Thunder-The-Bright's picture
Thunder-The-Bright

destroyer, you will still need ce to buy orbs and sparks and, possibly, fire crystals. there will be demand.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 14:13
#29
Coelydragon's picture
Coelydragon
@destroyerofthenort

Not too sure what you lol'd at. So your final answer is?

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 14:22
#30
Qwote's picture
Qwote

69696 crowns / 100 ce

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 14:29
#31
Destroyerofthenort's picture
Destroyerofthenort
Not going full-length with explanation... here it is in short

If you are lazy enough to BUY orbs instead of getting them (based on how common three rings has IMPLIED they are), then you either don't need to be crafting, or couldn't possibly have the money... because you have obviously not run ANYTHING since the update. For those who don't know what i refer to when i say they implied it:

"As you play, you will find over time that you have more orbs than you need for the upgrade of your initial choice of weapons, and that you have the resources to build a broader arsenal of gear."

Now, if we are so in need of buying it, how is it we are going to be finding enough to build multiple sets?

...And elevator costs were a big thing in determining the base price of energy, as i stated before on other threads. The reason to sell is to get quick money that you otherwise would have taken longer to make any more with... now you don't make anything with the stuff any way beyond selling it.

... Sparks dropped will REDUCE the amount of need to buy sparks, so it won't universally be needed. Having an item's only use not even be needed all the time is a big thing.

Besides, this is coming from someone who just weeks ago couldn't talk about the update without getting steamed up enough to cook marshmallows on.... would you honestly think if there was still need to worry i would be out here supporting them? Or have any of you READ my test feedback? The changes and implications last post have reassured me that they won't kill the game even removing party revs. I don't see any reason it will cause a raise, overall; and has, in fact, dug itself out of the P2P rut it was in prior to the last announcement.

... oh yes! final price... umm... guess i will average my average. Put me down for 2k

Lol'd at the comment on waffleconecake, btw; since you asked

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 14:29
#32
Blitzkreiger
5k crowns /100 CE

5k crowns /100 CE

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 14:49
#33
Thunder-The-Bright's picture
Thunder-The-Bright

well, yes, everyone will have their sets. problem is forging, apparently, and the fact that not everyone stops when he has killed darkfire. you'll need more than the gear you can get, if OOO is clever and won't handle out exactly the orbs that you need for 2-3 more pieces of gear. even if you stop at SLs. but than there are danger missions, difficulty options, and the probable content added after the sprites (but take a rest, devs really, you'll need it).

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 15:07
#34
Dmatter's picture
Dmatter
@destroyerOrbs exist for

@destroyer
Orbs exist for each star level in the game (save for 0 star).~Nick
From that sentence that I just quoted, I assume he means in the quote YOU quoted something like this will happen:
Lets say it takes 3 orbs of the correct star level to upgrade a piece of equipment. Now lets say a knight, in 4*, is looking for some 5* orbs in T3 to get to 5*. After 2 hours of playing a day for a week on "hard"(average) mode, he finds: METRIC TONS of 1*s, quite a few 2*'s, a handful of 3*'s, 4 or 5 4*'s, 0-1 5*'s. At this rate, it will take him one or two months to get 1 5*. These rates will be lower in T1 and 2. To get the equipment, he can either keep playing (1-2 months), buy CE with actual money and trade it in (Instantly), or buy CE off the market (a couple days to get the crowns). And, as there is now unfathomable amounts of crowns in the market (lowering the value of them), CE will cost quite a bit to meet the demand of all the people in this situation.

I'm sorry if my tone was mean, and I'm also sorry if this is all unreadable. Really I'm just reminding you that there are multiple orbs of alch, not all drop rates are the same, not all gear has to be at 5* for Nick to be valid, there will still be demand for CE, and crowns will be so abundant, Ce prices will rise.
Edit: also, this is all guesswork.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 15:04
#35
Owlert's picture
Owlert
.

16k per 100.

That is only the first month; I think we'll continue to see it slowly go even higher. With current crown gains, I don't see it going over 25k for a long time. Should T4 be released, that will definitely change the prices.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 15:06
#36
Owlert's picture
Owlert
@Dmatter

I have yet to see a low-star orb or heat crystal drop in T3.

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 16:18
#37
Coelydragon's picture
Coelydragon
@Blitzkreiger

5k is already taken by gravelord-caste. Would you like to try a different price?

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 16:48
#38
Terra-Necro's picture
Terra-Necro
I guess 9.8k cr

I guess 9.8k cr

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 22:35
#39
Hexzyle's picture
Hexzyle

I have an important question

At what point after the update will the price be taken from? Because if the price actually does increase or decrease from its current point, it might take a full week or two after the update to do so (as a result of the large amount of players in the clockworks and hence either a surplus of crowns, or a surplus of orbs/sparks)

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 22:43
#40
Purrpal's picture
Purrpal
14.9k

14.9k

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 22:59
#41
Master-User's picture
Master-User
You got it all wrong :)

The ce price is going to be 8008 cr. :)

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 23:08
#42
Canozo's picture
Canozo

11.6k/100ce

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 23:25
#43
Thunder-The-Bright's picture
Thunder-The-Bright

hex, look at the OP. it says "average in 3-4 weeks".

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 23:49
#44
Xenogi
MY guess is 9k

MY guess is 9k

Sun, 07/28/2013 - 23:54
#45
Reto-Da-Liz's picture
Reto-Da-Liz

6.1k

Mon, 07/29/2013 - 01:34
#46
Hero-Of-Cheese's picture
Hero-Of-Cheese
Cheesy time!

I'm going to guess 15k. Not too high, but also not too low.

Mon, 07/29/2013 - 02:52
#47
De-Killer's picture
De-Killer
14k/100 Unlimited FSC farming

14k/100

Unlimited FSC farming

Mon, 07/29/2013 - 03:09
#48
Soulnfinity's picture
Soulnfinity
9.4k per 100 CE Crowns may

9.4k per 100 CE

Crowns may become inflated, but the demand for CE should go down by a reasonable amount.

On another note, what happens when the price doesn't stabilize?

Mon, 07/29/2013 - 03:18
#49
Blitzhawk's picture
Blitzhawk
My guess is 7k cr per 100 ce.

My guess is 7k cr per 100 ce. After all, those orb things pretty much make ce useless imo.

Mon, 07/29/2013 - 04:08
#50
Fehzor's picture
Fehzor

Lol, you don't have to create this contest- we're all being forced to gamble on it already XD

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