UV Rate?

6 Antworten [Letzter Beitrag]
Flameberga
Legacy Username

so basically I just crafted 30 times in a row and didnt get any UV, did the rate changed or I'm just suddenly became extremely unlucky?

Gigafreak
Legacy Username
The rate of getting a UV is

The rate of getting a UV is estimated at around 10%

The chances of 30 consecutive crafts having no UVs at all is roughly 1 in 24.

You just got unlucky this time.

Bild des Benutzers Eeks
Eeks
It's closer to 4 out of 100

It's closer to 4 out of 100 if my rusty statistics is correct. (0.9^30)

Gigafreak
Legacy Username
It came out to a probability

It came out to a probability of 0.04239, which comes out to 1-in-23.59 odds (just get the reciprocal of 0.04239). I rounded that to the nearest integer for clarity.

Those odds are low, but certainly not low enough for this to be considered a freak occurrence.

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Eeks
Oh right derp. Time to go to

Oh right derp. Time to go to bed lol

Eradicats
Legacy Username
I always thought the UV

I always thought the UV crafting rate was more like 20% or so, but that's purely personal experience and shouldn't be relied on (sample size of about 60)

Flameberga
Legacy Username
Seems like I'm very unlucky

Seems like I'm very unlucky lately then, just needed 28 crafts before I can get 1 UV. Or I'm missing something here?