Here we have an illustration of the outcomes of probability:
http://www.eonhq.com/m/data/images/probability-line.gif
1 being when you open a prize box you are guranteed to get "an item", and slightly above 0 being the probability of getting something you actually want.
For all intents and purposes, let's say you want the new battle sprite Gun Puppy which is a 1/100 chance of unboxing.
Let's also say you have 50 dollars to burn and buy 14 boxes.
http://www.random.org/
Using the random number generator, record how many times out of 14 you get exactly "1" out of 100 possible numbers.
For example I got: 67, 73, 28, 91, 74, 35, 51, 62, 94, 86, 98, 75, 48, 51
Record your data below after rolling 14 times.
Since it's hard to keep track of all unboxing, I wanted to try and see what a population of people really get.
According to my data, we haven't given Sega or OOO enough time or money, so we should keep throwing money at it to try and save the game.
I got 83, 78, 94, 38, 68, 13, 62, 25, 58, 15, 41, 11, 67, and 79.
Btw I'm on my phone atm... the first time I rolled 14 numbers (the above numbers are my second 14) I had two 3's... Thanks to the back button I went back on my browser and the numbers were deleted...