Spiral Knights - █【Rolling Data】█ New rolling data & study, suggests a ~10% chance of getting a Very High variant

█【Rolling Data】█ New rolling data & study, suggests a ~10% chance of getting a Very High variant

101 replies [Last post]

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 20:05

#51

Troubling

Spiral Soaker response

I can if necessary, but this should be sufficient since the guns are listed in alphabetical order (I screenshotted the "S" area)
If that isn't enough just let me know, I don't mind taking another couple of screenies

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 20:05

#52

Spirple

the mask of seerus would be

the mask of seerus would be nice to. may i reserve that? use my perv screenshot please. well to be honest anything would be nice. all this 5* gear is really amazing

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 20:17

#53

Lizzi

Acheron please! Thank you for doing this.

http://puu.sh/hnCA8/5338aa0771.png

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 20:22

#54

Troubling

Spiral Soaker response

The screenshots just in case
http://imgur.com/HjZCCGX,lYzceOi#1
http://imgur.com/HjZCCGX,lYzceOi#0
When you read this, just let me know on this thread or send me mail IG (Troubling)
Thanks!

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 20:29

#55

Tempas

bump!

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 20:42

#56

Euclidean-Space

Hi!

Straight forward:
I'll like to reserve the Sacred Firefly Shade Armour
Here are the screenshots:
http://imgur.com/7z96klA
http://imgur.com/cTBFNhf
http://imgur.com/8TdczME

This would make a nice set for c42 I think, running full Dragon Scale makes me feel weak. I never sell items that were gifts from people.

In my opinion, the only pay to win aspect is just costumes, there are many good players that use mediocre medium UVs while some UV monsters can't even solo an arena properly. All cosmetics. The Mixmaster is another story though.

Anyway, good luck with everything in real life and university :) It'll be fun, I promise!

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 21:27

#57

Rykle

(noderanger btw)

I would like obsidian carbine please :)

http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=430423428

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 21:04

#58

Beartamer

Angel: You've been spamming

Angel: You've been spamming me in game and sent me a nice long rant. I think I'll save up energy so I can give it to a new player I've been mentoring instead.

Cryptian: Enjoy your seerus mask, it's like the best gunner helm in the game.

Nevov: I need a full screenshot, can you do that for me?

Troubling: Nevov will get it if her screenshot can be fixed, but let's keep in touch. Would you like to reserve something else? Also, RIP your guild. I'll send you some crowns.

Armorcow: I'm sorry but someone just got it ;_; Is there something else I can get you?

Lizzi & Hades: I'm sorry, but I'm going to keep these for players in need for now.

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 17:30

#59

Abknight

Hello

I would like the Riftlocker, i currently lack a piercing gun that would let me dodge (got the blitz and i hope u don't see that as the same gun)

http://i.imgur.com/3SgK0Xl.jpg (updated sorry for the intial wrong link)

thank you and let me know.

-Abknight

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 22:32

#60

Gradiosive-Cate

Update on Post #12 Spiral Soaker

I updated post with 2nd screenshots for inventory as requested.
Sorry but I feel like being forgotten or .... ignored.. about my reservation.

If that's the case then ... all good. It's all your wills on what to do :)

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 22:56

#61

Chank

Final Gasp (first choice) thank you

Hello, May I have the final gasp if it is still available

http://i.imgur.com/rkKA9vq.png

That is an inventory of my shieldss, i am not a merchant, I am a simple vanguard player

Here are my guns: http://i.imgur.com/EZoUFXY.png
If it is already reserved I would be interested in the spiral soaker as my second choice

And if that is already taken I would be interested in the Grim repeater.

Thank you very much

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 03:28

#62

Tryhardbanana

Shivermist Buster CTR M

I'd like the Shiv, if it's still available.

http://imgur.com/fMq7W9n

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 03:44

#63

Hershey-Kiss

So u rnt sellimg to tcw? Ugh.

So u rnt sellimg to tcw? Ugh. (Post 34)

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 03:52

#64

Fear-Da-Ganjamon

Odsidain Carbine OR Grim repeater

HI bear really sad that we lost one of our SK players. Good luck with the moving
HEre is the screen shot http://imgur.com/uOSkP4Z

If it isnt too much trouble i would like to reserve the obsidian carbine , if that is not available i would like my second choice to be the grim repeater

IT would be really appreciated

And again Good luck

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 04:45

#65

Ademon-Hunter

Spiral-soaker

Hi iam new to this game and iam interested in the spiral soaker, dont worry about the fee iam buyin energy anyway

Here is the screen shot http://imgur.com/JkoehMc

Oh and GL with your travels

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 04:52

#66

Mrgrey

Heard online you were doing a giveaway.

Didn't know you were quitting.

Well that's a sad thing, we had some good talks and you were good company. I laughed aloud when I saw you put my name down for the argent.

I'd be delighted to have it and use in name of our friendship. I don't have one (never needed it lol) but I'll post an inventory pic like everyone else probably tomorrow. Sorry if I misinformed you for the kat event! I had heard through the grapevine that was the next event.

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 05:38

#67

Zee-Lander

OMG Sorry Tamer for my (Spam)

Really sorry for the spam Tamer!

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 05:38

#68

Zee-Lander

OMG Sorry Tamer for my (Spam)

Sorry Tamer for spam i did.
Well,Will u sell for me the acheron?
I already sent a photo.
Sorry again for the spam Cuz first time using forums :p.

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 06:30

#69

Thebronzemonsta

I did not spam u mesages...u

I did not spam u mesages...u never replied so if you replied I would hsve stopped UPDATING you... your reason is wrong

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 06:35

#70

Beartamer

Abknight: Can you fix your

Abknight: Can you fix your link? (seems broken)

Skuld-Norn: Thanks for fixing your application, let's get in touch in-game.

Chank: You already own an owlite shield and the soaker has been reserved. So Grim works for you?

Tryhardbananna: Reserved a shivermist CTR:M ^_^

Fear-Da-Ganjamon: Reserving the Carbine for ya.'

Ademon: Several people have applied for the soaker already, can you try for something not reserved?

Mrgrey: Yeah, I saved you a fun gun ^_^

Fn-Keleige: I've already explained my actions to you and documented your in-game spam, please leave this thread. Failure to do so will result in this escalating to a report w/ screenshots.

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 06:38

#71

Thebronzemonsta

Now your are going to ignore

Now your are going to ignore me... not even following your own rules.

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 06:55

#72

Zee-Lander

Oww. U could just answer

Oww.
U could just answer easly there
Anyway Soz again

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 07:53

#73

Anonmouse

Acheron?

http://i.imgur.com/G69gNVa.jpg

Could I get the Acheron sword?

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 07:59

#74

Anonmouse

Uhhh wait a second

I dont think I can equip that sword. Uhh sorry about that

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 08:10

#75

Alternate-Dragon

sorry

acheron and Polaris are mine

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 10:10

#76

Arthur-Lionheart

Acheron

Would like to buy Acheron now.
I do not have one has I told you already.

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 10:20

#77

Mrgrey

img

:'(

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 10:57

#78

Zurmar

http://i.imgur.com/nWoEp8z.jp

http://i.imgur.com/nWoEp8z.jpg?1

thx :)

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 11:09

#79

Jhtk

http://i.imgur.com/NqbUZN3.jp

http://i.imgur.com/NqbUZN3.jpg?1

Hey, i`d like to buy the Sacred Firefly Shade Armor.

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 12:50

#80

Dimothy

Final Gasp! (and polaris)

Hey! i would like your final gasp please!!!! i have no shield!! X.X

http://prntscr.com/6xcqnr

^ image of my shields

and if you would like could i reserve polaris too???

http://prntscr.com/6xcr79

Thank you!!!

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 13:02

#81

Beartamer

Anonmouse: The Acheron has

Anonmouse: The Acheron has been given away, can you reserve something else?

Arthur-Lionheart: Block'd because of ingame spam, the rules are clear and I don't make exceptions.

Alternate-Dragon: Enjoy your ASI:VH Polaris & Acheron

Mrgrey: I'll get it to you, hopefully we can pool money for unbind fees by friday.

Zurmar: Enjoy your Phantamos ASI:M :)

Jhtk: I know Vog is not exactly the same, but they both serve the same purpose for vanaduke runs. I'd like to see if I can get this to someone who doesn't have vanaduke gear first, if not, you can get it friday.

Plofs: I know you're big on merchanteering and are trying to buy several items that are worth more than 30kCE (Citation: http://forums.spiralknights.com/en/node/109454). Why should you get a shield over all the new players that want it? Polaris was given away, and it seems you didn't read the rules (one item per person).

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 13:11

#82

Beartamer

Removed the reservation on

Removed the reservation on the Grim Repeater (buyer won't be able to pay by friday).

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 13:24

#83

Jhtk

http://i.imgur.com/bme1Ola.jp

http://i.imgur.com/bme1Ola.jpg?1

I`ll take the grim repeater then

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 16:03

#84

Anonmouse

Beaten

Jhtk already claimed it, but thanks anyways.

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 16:00

#85

Light-Cecil

Hey Dude I Would Like.....

Hey Dude I would Really Appreciate it if you gave me the Dragon Scale Shield here is the link for all my shields, well the picture http://imgur.com/gallery/g5chn4r/new Thanks! =)

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 16:07

#86

Light-Cecil

Woops........

Woops sorry i thought you were giving it for free :P sorry just ignore my post :P

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 16:13

#87

Cryptian

Bump

Thanks a lot!

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 16:54

#88

Spirple

i would like the repeater );

i would like the repeater ); but people are taking it...i want the shield too but people are taking it..and what is a promise? ):

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 16:57

#89

Spirple

i would like the repeater );

i would like the repeater ); but people are taking it...i want the gasp shield too but people are taking it..and what is a promise? ): i really woudl like that repeater though

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 16:57

#90

Spirple

sorry computer lagged

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 17:06

#91

Spirple

sorry computer lagged..can i

sorry computer lagged..can i also get the chaos cowl? i dont know what a promise is and im not a member though..i know i can only take one thing, but the repeater, cowl, shield would all be fine. Thanks for being so generous :)

^comp lagged again >:

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 19:28

#92

Veridiandynamics

Promise is a guild in SK

Promise is a guild in SK.

Thu, 04/23/2015 - 21:09

#93

Gradiosive-Cate

Update Status

Original post #12

Hello,
I'm online atm and will be available for 1.5 hours.
Still waiting on you ( not sure how to contact politely, in-game mail perhaps ).

Not sure if i can made it to you tonight (for me) or tomorrow. If not, can I send you my unbind fee through mail or it must be direct contact (knight2knight)

So yah, thanks again :)

[Edit] Spiral Soaker received. Very thanks to you, Bear-Tamer. Best luck to you on your life adventure.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 11:16

#94

Delecated

I'll take the Feral Cannon

http://i.imgur.com/g1WiGBK.png?1

Thank ye.

Edit: Oh, and I'd also like to have it upgraded to a Savage Tortofist.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 11:28

#95

Cheshireccat

Surprised

I'm really surprised nobody jumped on the Fire High Sacred Firefly Shade Armor. That one could be pretty useful, especially in FSC.

--Chesh

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 11:45

#96

Mrgrey

Yay

I got the 4ke :O

Sat, 05/02/2015 - 13:03

#97

Beartamer

Giveaway is over, sharing rolling data.

I've finished my giveaway, this thread has been re-purposed to share my rolling data (and basically how it's possible to double the odds of rolling VH uv's). I feel like this is the most relevant section for market data to be in, but I can move this elsewhere if necessary.

The move to Seattle is going smoothly, for those that asked in-game ^_^

Sat, 05/02/2015 - 14:56

#98

The-Jempire

I appreciate any propaganda

I appreciate any propaganda used to buy items for half as much as it is possible to resell them for.

Keep up the good work and keep spreading the message that UVs are cheap, it helps business.

Also, you might want to add my rolling stats to yours:

VH uv rolls on macbook 31/100 ~30%

VH uv rolls on windows PC 22/100 ~22%

VH uv rolls on sundays when it is cloudy 15/100 ~15%

Hope it helps explains uvs to new people that don't understand what random means.

**one edit:
If Punch was anything other than random, OOO would be legally obligated to post gambling odds. Since they never have, it is safe to assume the odds for any UV are the same.

Sat, 05/02/2015 - 14:54

#99

Beartamer

^ LOL.

Sat, 05/02/2015 - 15:26

#100

Teddysmacker

Rofl

Yo, Ted here.
As much as I didn't want to publish minimal info before we had more data, I'll participate since this is your wishes.
I also took part in the experimentation of UV rolling and believe it or not, this data actually supports that Punch doesn't give UV's randomly.
We refrained from publishing quickly because it would affect the economy. However, the CE market is already in ruins. Might as well.
There are more setbacks to releasing data. That is: more people would roll in sparser Havens, diluting the potency for good rolls. This can potentially give terrible rolls consecutively towards the people who roll later in the day, thus dismissing it as propaganda - Then again, it's probability.
That's why I said believe it or not.

P.S, @The-Jempire
1: Lmao, that actually made me laugh pretty hard.
2: They're not obligated to tell us since it uses crowns, which is game money. It CAN be directly obtained from the CE market by buying real money, but because it can be used by being Free To Play, it's not illegal in any way. Basically, they're as obligated to tell us his rolling system as much as how bosses work, or when some famous celebrity got ugly 30 years later. Yeahno.

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█【Rolling Data】█ New rolling data & study, suggests a ~10% chance of getting a Very High variant