CE Market: At Its Current State (Editing on OP will occur weekly/monthly)

Ok so we all know how theres complainers about CE prices. I am not one of them. I support the CE exchange as it is now. It works for the normal players.
Now lets get to the point.
Two things I wanna discuss here: My Idea of accumulating lots of CE for purposes, and the discussion of wether its at a reasonable price
Lets start with the price.
Current Exchange rate rounded 6500CR=100CE
Okay I still make profit with this. LET ME FINISH BEFORE YOU FLAME....ok.... So It is okay for me at the moment, but I'm 5*. That said I still believe it is a bit on the hard end for 3* players and newcomers.
HOWEVER
Newcomes dont really need CE since you only need Mist to get to Teir 2. 2*-3* Players should be getting enough CR per full tank of Mist to rake in 5kCR or even 100CE. Save that and use mist only and you WILL get up to 400CE easily.
Now for the complainers...I got some points for you....
1. It seemes by the way you say it that you are unable to break even with CE prices with Mist that REGENERATES.
2. Beggers: If you are out of Mist, out of CR or both then LOGOUT. You've reached the end of what you can do today.
3. If you dont take action, you dont get prices down. Complaining does nothing without backing up you idea. I.E MAKE the price go down, dont just tell it to.
4.PATIENCE. Nearly EVERY big update the price drops a minimum of 1kCR.
Ok now onto my Attempt to accumulate lots of CE
My goal at Mid-September: 10kCE
Before you say "heh what a noob he cant do that" listen to my strategy.
NOTICE: This plan was made on my own purposes. I'd like to see if Teir 2 players can use it though.
Steps:
1. Do a full Teir 2 Jelly King or Teir 3 Vanaduke run per day. Get as much CR out of my 100 Mist possible.
2. With the CR accumulated, buy as much CE as possible. I get about 200CE per day average.
3. Log off and wait for mist to recharge, checking into the game every once in awhile for CE price Checks or AH auctioning.
4. Next day: Repeat process
Within only about half a week I made it to 660CE and 35kCR rounded. I am 5* as a reminder.
I'm planning to do 2 things with this CE.
1. Use for my own purposes, obviously.
2. Lower Prices for all players and try to keep it that way. This is for honest non-whining/complaining players. The complainers can quit the game.
And thats all I have to say on that topic.
I WILL be updating this original post often to keep up with prices and revise anything if need be. Here is my statistics on how much my plan is getting me in CE and CR per week. This will be updated often. (per day if i have the time or make large profit)
August 28: 30078cr---650CE
September 4: TBD
I have the largest posts I've seen on the Forums xD
I have a lot to say.
IN-GAME NAME: Xylka
~Xylka
i love when people get excited over a t2 stratum with a bunch of arenas and a graveyard. guess where most of your new found profits are going? hint: not in your pocket.
makes me wish they nerf arena earnings in line with other levels.

1. I know people aren't that skilled or have 5* gear. I'm just seeing if this plan I have could be used for other players that are able to finish Teir 2.
2. I'm buying for lower than average price. I'm doing the best i can with what 1 player can do.
3. Okay so maybe I was a little harsh there. I'll edit that but that was directed to the people who constantly whine and complain on the forums, I just am a little frustrated at them. Also CE is at a very high price for newcomers. Read the second purpose of my plan again
I'll TRY to get data from march but it might take some time. Yes it was at 5k near the begginning of the month.
TIME TO EDIT OP
I have mostly all lvl 4* equip.
When learning the game I wasted CEs on purchasing and upgrading dead end equip (like spiral plate helm and spiral plate mail)
Beyond the starter pack, I have not purchased any new CEs; I keep an ample reserve of Cr and CE to use as needed. If I see something selling at a bargain in the AH i try to purchase it and resell it at a profit. e.g. the other day I bought a Calibur w/ a UV that I felt was underpriced, and turned it around and had it sold w/in a day for over 2x what I purchased it for.
If you want to just hack and slash; and you don't want to bother w/ the economics of the game, you should be the last to complain about CE Prices. You want to hack and slash all you want whenever you want, own up and buy some CE w/ real $.
Otherwise, bargain hunt and trade shrewdly and you'll earn yourself enough CE and Cr to support your needs. Just don't spend it all upgrading your equip and then complain you don't have enough CE to do other stuff; so you want others to sell it to you cheaply because you're too lazy to work at the game.

well...while i appreciate that you put time and effort into this, you have a grand failling...or oversight at least, in you write up.
if you can earn 200ce on you daily 100me why would you log off? why not use that 200 ce to earn 400. and that 400 ce to earn 800?
i mean, isn't that common sense?

i won't bother to say this in every thread. or even to come back to this thread, probably.
But 2*-3*-4* players could be a little more creative. I'm sure many top end players who have riches and are tired of grinding, forever grinding, to heat up their latest pretties would be more than happy to carry you through full arena's you cant handle by yourself. giving you the most bang for your buck. in exchange for your heat at the end. (u dying on the spikes). while you'll not be heating up gear, i'm sure a lot of these players are stuck with maxed out 2-4* gear anyways. so they don't need the heat.
i've never once seen someone in trade chat say
"plz carry me thru T2 arena. will give heat @ end!!" it would get positive responses.
heck. i've got a magic hood i'm leveling to grey feather cowl. And i'd gladly drag a couple 2-3 star newbs with me in exchange for their heat.

Riiiight....
Ok maybe I exaggerated with the 200CE per DAY. Id say maybe 800ish a week?
TBH I just started out with the plan.
"why log off after 200CE? Why not use that to make 400..."
1. I don't have forever to play this game
2. I meant (and think i did) say the 'log off after 100mist' to the people who can't break even with the prices
@ your second post
ok well i agree with you on this.
Ill edit the OP in the morning. atm im on my 3DS typing.
I think I'll quote part of you second post in there too.
Also rephrasing and revising the OP thuroughly later isn't a bad idea. I'll get to work on it.
Also THANK YOU for CONSTRUCTIVE CRITISIZM
and NOT FLAMING.
@every other reader.
ill be on the forums for a bit. feel free to post insight.
Im looking for people to
1. Provide a good post with discussion and/or advice to suceed in the CE market
2. try out my plan to gain heaps of CE. If theres a 5* player whos willing to use 3* gear to test the plan in Teir 2 and post results (in both this and a new thread) then ill be very happy
Cya 'roud Haven
~Xylka

Good Luck with that. Personally, I like the ce prices high instead of low, and people do cry about it, but well if you spend real money on ce wouldn't you want more crowns for your dollar? I know I do lol....anyways this game is easily playable without spending a dollar I know many that have multiple 5* sets and made a good lump of ce just playing spiral knights without spending a penny kinda makes me sad since I spent a few dimes and nickels. But, anyways good luck with your venture I have seen longer posts than yours most likely made some as well =0..... Umm, ce prices will always be too high or too low there is no equal level which both sides will agree upon...its basically an argument no one can win.

Nice to see someone that likes prices high and thanks for the encouragement!
yea there are bigger posts than mine i realized. just the 3DS screen.....nvm
Did i say it was going to equal out? Seriously did I? i cant remember or find it unless you were talking general or to another person.
"an arguement no one can win"
i cant agree more. its good to help out other players though since not everyone is 5*.
meh imma go to sleep now and wake up at 5AM.
"i wake up at 3Am every day :p"
Cool story, bro. Tell it again. :p
k Goodnight everyone
or...is it good morning for some people...or afternoon?! Agh!!!
~Xylka

Yes, I do agree not everyone is 5*. So I invented help a random noob out every day. Basically when you see some nice random noob you trade them stuff and give them tips and pointers. Today, I gave this random girl or guy who was new to spiral knights: A haze bomb, demo helm piercing low uv, brandish, blast bomb, and some plate armor along with an owlite shield with medium shock resistance. That will save that knight some cash. If each person can help out a newb each day well thats one more player who won't beg. =)
Couple of problems with this plan...
First, the math fail. If you make 200 CE/day, then getting to 10k CE will take you 50 days. That's a lot longer than from now until mid-September.
As pointed out, assuming prices remain constant, you could "re-invest" that CE to play more and earn more per day, and it might be possible to make your goal. But 200 CE/day isn't cutting it. To want to turn your current 650 CE into 10k CE by Sept. 16 (19 days), you'll need to make an AVERAGE of over 492 CE per day.
Second, the economic fail. You state that you're doing this to try to lower the CE price. That is not how supply and demand works.
Buying CE from other players doesn't create any new CE in the game, it just moves it around. Any CE you buy is that much CE that someone else can't buy--by hoarding CE and removing it from circulation, you are decreasing the supply of CE, which makes the price go UP, because the same number of players are bidding for a smaller amount.
If you sell that CE when you're done, then you're putting it back into circulation. That will make the price go back down...to approximately the point it would ALREADY be at if you had never hoarded it in the first place.
According to basic micro-economics, your master plan to lower the cost of CE and keep it down will do the following:
1. Raise the price of CE while you are carrying it out
2. Return the price of CE to normal levels when you are done, producing no lasting change
Of course, that assumes you only spend mist energy. If you spend CE to adventure more in an effort to make your goal of 10k, then the CE you spent on elevators is gone forever, and you are making the price of CE go up in the short term AND in the long term.
If you want to make the price of CE go down, you've really only got one option. What you do is:
1. Buy CE with real money, to increase the total supply in the game.
2. Then sell it to other players, putting it into circulation.
Whether you decide to do that is up to you. But trying to do anything else in order "to lower prices for all players" is just an elaborate self-deception.

"Ok now onto my Attempt to accumulate lots of CE
My goal at Mid-September: 10kCE"
This was so funny i almost fell off my chair, if you want to lower the price of CE you will need 500000 at least, 10K is like 20 bucks worth o0

So let me get this straight, your saying that with your daily 100 Mist energy that your raking in enough cash to buy 200CE. So simpily your saying that a JK run plus maybe 2 more levels after that is enough to get.....hmm to the exchange rate 100 CE is going for!
Oh that would be around 13K Crowns ATM to buy 200 CE and you say a Jelly King run with the 100 Mist Energy you get every 22hrs is enough to earn enough crowns to buy 200 CE, I can tell you now Ive done JK for almost a year now and with the recent updates nerfing the money that drops in that run, your lucky to get 8000K out of it. So in reality a JK run with these current soaring prices will buy you 100 CE.
Now I'm not saying your ideas rubbish, I'm just saying your calculations are a bit off, so lets be realistic and say 100CE can be earned in a day off of a Boss Stratum run.
I would also like to put this scenario forward now... What if you wanted to upgrade your *2 item all the way to its final *5 variant off of CE bought of boss runs each day using the crowns you've earned, with a gain of 100 CE a day.
That one *2 item to get to *5 will cost a total of 1400 CE, meaning 14 days/2 weeks of nothing but boss runs, that is not including the cost of mats or crafting.
But I still do encourage you to undertake this en-devour, Id like to see how it turns out.
I think it is useful to comment here about the value in spiral knights. We will make a few simplifications, in that we won't consider newer updates such a pvp and unbinding etc.
CE:
Value in that it is the main currency used to play levels,
and it is also the main currency used to craft.
CE can be traded for crowns with a 2% fee.
Crowns:
These also have a value in being used to pay gate fees,
and also used to craft
but their value in these capacities is less than that of CE.
Crowns can also be used to pay for items at the auction house, which CE cannot (we will ignore out-of-AH-trading atm).
Crowns can also be traded for CE for no fee.
Equipment:
These are assets, bought with crowns and CE, and also gameplay (in the form of heat).
Require materials aquired through gameplay or bought with Crowns at AH.
Can be traded on AH for crowns with a 10% fee.
Materials:
Aquired through gameplay
Can be traded on AH for Crowns for a 10% fee.
I think this is the main value to be found within SK.
So where is the safest place to invest?
Now. i spend a lot of time just looking at the market tab of the energy store
what seems to happen is that people raise their price according to the current market, and raise it gradually by one or so,
however, it seems that some people decide to make big leaps and raise it by 50 or more,
then the next person raises his/her price according to them, therefore the market inflates according to the amount of people selling,
its when people start to buy lots of crowns (usually some time after school ends) is when the buyers essentially filter out the big leaps in prices some have made
Therefore, when more people are on, the price of energy typically goes down,
now depending on your stance, you can TRY to help shift the market either up or down
if you want energy to increase, that means that you make giant leaps within the market, thus having everything else follow
if you want it to decrease (like I do) you take turns, and wait for the people who are on top to get sold out, and then you get yours after x amount of people have bought crowns
Like with many conflicting forces, both of these can't work at the same time.
My viewpoint is if we lower the cost of energy, more people will have more satisfaction in their equipment, and therefore be happier with the game, but the game won't last as long for them, but a decrease in value of energy will also make it so then some people can play forever, by repeating the same stuff over and over again.
So my solution to making lower energy prices, without focusing too much on the market (because the majority controls the market), is to either inflate the energy market, or increase the value of crowns by decreasing the amount of them within the market
However, i find this near impossible, due to dungeons bringing in more crowns than the market can get rid of, and the fact that some uneducated people are way too competitive and decide to make their price "the best price" (thus increasing prices) at all times, also, I'd prefer not to spend lots of my money to get something virtual, or to help a small internet community's economy.
In response to the previous post, i would hoard crowns to try to help the market, and hopefully buy energy when its cheap, and sell it when the condition is around what it is currently.

You guys are smart.
First off you identified my fail at math. That in itself helped me.
Also you showed how hoarding the CE wont help as it will be "not in supply" so to speak.
Guess buying is only option. :/
So how can we get a lot of people to buy CE? Persuade them if anything and thats if they even have the money.
One thing I have to say before this thread dies
@Archon
Heard of looping arenas? Yeah, I do that too. About 3kcr per loop.
So thats:
3kCR = 40CE atm(?)
Spent= Max--25energy....Average--15energy
so 2 arenas = about 6kcr= 80CE(?)
maximum spent= 50e
Average spent= 30e
What about only JK runs and 8kcr?
meh...either way this thread is now dead. When I think this through then ill make a new thread.
BTW This was NOT meant to be a "LOWER CE PRICES!!!" thread, it was supposed to be a "lets TRY to lower CE prices from a NEUTRAL STANDPOINT."
Move to graveyard.
Just a few notes
1. Not everyone has 5* gear or crazy skills. It is possible to die and not get the fabled 6.5k crowns per 100 mist energy used.
2. Buying CE for higher or equal to the market average will increase CE price
3. Telling people to deal with it or quit isn't a very good way to convince people CE prices are okay. (For the record, I'm a CE buyer and I think CE prices are ridiculous for a new player to handle.)
And...this would be more helpful if you can get data for March 2011 till now from other players. I remember it was about 5k crowns at beginning of August.