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Odds of A Punkin King room spawning. Please Post Your Odds (102/196 possible = 52% chance of PK spawn)

24 replies [Last post]
Fri, 10/21/2011 - 23:01
Cassiusbenard's picture
Cassiusbenard

Today, I went into Power Complex-Haunted Passage, Depth 1 of Iron Serpent Gate 20 times in order to calculate the odds of a Punkin King room Spawning.

Here are my resuls:

Times the Punkin King room spawned: 11
Tiems the Punking King room did not spawn: 9

For me, this means that I had a 55% chance of getting a Punkin King when I entered the level.

What I want to know is the odds of every else around here, If you could post yours below, it would be greatly appreciated, I may do a running percentage if I have time.

(Off-Topic- On my 20th run through depth 1, I was rewarded with an iron lockbox on the prize wheel, proving to myself that Iron lockboxes are possible on depth 1! ^_^)

Remember that only certain levels are capable of spawning punkin king rooms, do not include the other levels in your data please.

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 00:05
#1
Nicoya-Kitty's picture
Nicoya-Kitty
I'm guessing it's probably

I'm guessing it's probably the same odds as a danger room showing up. (Though I should note the two aren't exclusive, I've seen one level with both a danger room and a punkin king)

I'll take notes on my next run.

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 00:25
#2
Foghurtyarmer
11/17 ~ 65% so far. Prior to

11/17 ~ 65% so far. Prior to the patch, it was closer to 70-75% but my sample size is too small to draw any real conclusions. On another note, yesterday I managed to get treat every single time except the last encounter (used 100 mist).

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 01:12
#3
Dwyn's picture
Dwyn
9 runs....

I know I wrote down my information from early runs, but now I can't find it...so all I have is the last 9 encounter possibilities.

I used depths 9-11 of the Iron Serpent gate

of the 9 encounter possibilities, 6 were positive (which is around 66.6% (I for one was amused, even if my sample is much too small to conclude anything)

Further, of the six encounters, 4 were tricks, 2 were treats.

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 02:20
#4
Evilduck's picture
Evilduck
Not counting the times I've

Not counting the times I've been invited specifically for a punkin king, I've literally had a 100% record. And only two tricks. I'm a lucky charm. :3

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 03:24
#5
Merethif's picture
Merethif
My results so far

10 Clockworks Tunnels visited:

Times the Punking King room spawned: 4 (all Treads!)
Times the Punking King room did not spawn: 6

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 03:24
#6
Urtheart's picture
Urtheart
Man you guys must be really

Man you guys must be really lucky, I've done over 10 runs this last week and seen him once

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 16:33
#7
Nicoya-Kitty's picture
Nicoya-Kitty
9 clockworks tunnels levels,

9 clockworks tunnels levels, 4 punkin kings, 5 none.

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 16:37
#8
Sypsy's picture
Sypsy
I have not kept track, but my

I have not kept track, but my gut feel is that it's close to 50/50, if not exactly.

I usually have it that 1 or 2 of 3 gear levels will have PK.
This morning, my friends and I did 4 gear levels in a row on stratum 5 of coral phantom and got none.

Gotta love RNG.

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 18:37
#9
Ranick's picture
Ranick
Today: 7 times seen, 3 not.

Today: 7 times seen, 3 not.
Of these 7 events, only 2 were tricks.

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 18:35
#10
Rusvul's picture
Rusvul
...smell my feet

I'm running at about 80 percent, roughly - very much more likely to get the PK than not so far. And only three tricks so far!

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 19:09
#11
Oakgear's picture
Oakgear
Today

A fail for the pun run...
Visited 21 clockwork tunnels
Punking appeared only 3 times

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 19:17
#12
Mohandar's picture
Mohandar
Anecdotal, but:

Estimated encounter rate of about 50% (Runs that I personally did to try and find him)
Trick rate of about 40% (includes runs I joined after a confirmed sighting)

As a side note, I saw danger rooms in about 80% of the clockwork level tunnels I visited, including the ones where I joined a confirmed sighting.
Anyway, when y'all have your Spookat and Phantom masks, you should pair them with Spiral Scale Mail and Firebreak Armor and come invade Haven.

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 19:22
#13
Juances's picture
Juances
this may overcomplicate

this may overcomplicate things but are chances affected by tiers?.

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 19:35
#14
Kreuz-Drache's picture
Kreuz-Drache
this may overcomplicate
    this may overcomplicate things but are chances affected by tiers?.

Nah, I feel it's about the same rates. However, he and his zombies do become tougher in lower depths. In T3, his zombies have Stun Breath.

EDIT: But not much tougher of course. ;) I remember killing his zombies with around 2 strikes of my Ascended Calibur( I was wearing an Ashtail Coat too.) So it' snot much of a difficulty thing.

Sat, 10/22/2011 - 21:09
#15
Nechrome's picture
Nechrome
i did i think 4 PK runs, but

i did i think 4 PK runs, but only 3 had him.

75% chance so far, i guess.

however, i noticed the the depth with no PK was the only depth with a danger room.

maybe danger rooms have something to do with the equation?

Sun, 10/23/2011 - 03:24
#16
Jerhue's picture
Jerhue
Dandy Candy

-All of my runs were on iron serpent.
-There were rooms with punking king and danger rooms.
-Punking can appear before and after the party switch.
-You can find danger rooms by itself or punking by itself too.
-I found 2 iron lock-boxes

Day 1 before patch 7/10
Day 2 after patch 4/10
Day 3 5/13

By 7/10 I mean out of 100 mist I found him only 7 times.
Curiously I started finding punking more after I was running on CE.

Sun, 10/23/2011 - 03:52
#17
Rouge-Rogue's picture
Rouge-Rogue
Run 1 -- 5 possible Punkin

Run 1 --
5 possible Punkin King floors
3 contained Punkin King

~60%

Run 2--
4 floors
2 PK

~50%

Run 3--
7 floors
5 PK

~71%

Run 4--
7 floors
2 PK

~29%

Had fairly good runs, save this last one.

Sun, 10/23/2011 - 06:03
#18
Oakgear's picture
Oakgear
Info on my run

I went solo for most of those, but for 5 of them I had at least some one else and out of those five I got three
Groups probably affect it more

Sun, 10/23/2011 - 06:18
#19
Karamong's picture
Karamong
This morning, Titan Gate,

This morning, Titan Gate, Tier 1: 2 Clockwork levels, spawned in both. 100% chance :v

Sun, 10/23/2011 - 11:38
#20
Rusvul's picture
Rusvul
Additional

Did some last night.
Tier 1 run - 3 possible Clockwork levels. First time through, I hit Punkin on all three - and all three were Treats. Second time through went 1 of 3, got Trick. Third time through, 2 of 3, Trick and Treat.
Not bad, and about 2/3 of the way towards my goal!

Sun, 10/23/2011 - 15:12
#21
Vatarian's picture
Vatarian
My odds?..... About 75

My odds?..... About 75 percent. I REALLY want an authentic Spookat mask. I shall not rest until I have one.

Sun, 10/23/2011 - 18:43
#22
Mysticbeam's picture
Mysticbeam
ya lol

i think pk replaces danger rooms, not sure :P.

if u want almost 75% pk, go on the clockworks lvl it iron serpent t1 depth 1

OR just sit in haven and send tells 2 all ur friends asking them 2 invite u at pk. got like 10+ PK lvls by joining guild and frieds :P

i got my authentic spookat and authentic pantom in 2 dy, using only mist the first day, and 70CE and 100 mist today :D

Sun, 10/23/2011 - 18:49
#23
Dominarr's picture
Dominarr
@mysticbeam

no PK doesn't replace danger rooms, i've had several occasions where both are on the same floor
i got all 3 authentics in 1dy, i win :3
i think waiting for friends to find him is alled " lazy " XP, oh well

Sun, 10/23/2011 - 22:06
#24
Cassiusbenard's picture
Cassiusbenard
24 more runs

Did 24 more runs today, got 14 PK spawns, and I offically have all 3 authentic masks, so this will be my last posting.

I'll be adjusting title to fit new odds.

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