Thought I'd share this story, since it's so odd.
I got my first Lockbox right when I started the game, wasn't really interested in it, so I traded it.
Some 200 in game hours later, not a single box since then.
Then, today, because of the promotion, I bought the Explorer's pack which comes with a Silver Key. 30 minutes or so after getting the key, I get Iron Lockbox. What the hell, I think, I'll open it since I got the free key.
30 minutes later, I get a second lockbox in a prize wheel.
Now, is it a coincidence that after getting a key, I got 2 Lockboxes in an hour, after not having gotten a single one in over 200 hours of play?
It isn't a coincidence. It's a marketing tactic.