What is the chance of getting one from heating.
Forge Prize Boz question
It's rare enough that we need to collect a lot of data, to nail down the frequency with any precision.
I have spent 394 long, hard years researching this fact. I deducted the most important fact known to Knightkind that the chance of getting any kind of box in this game is exactly correctly positively 0.0000000000000000000000001234.000000000000000000000000000.1337.0000000000000000000hi0000000000000000000000000000000.1.2.3.4.lol.<69.2578-574%¥•=2. And six hunnet fiddy divided by cheesewhiz.
When we tried it on the test server it was 1%, but that was with only a few people participating (and who knows if it was changed before the update moved to the main server).
Example: I have heated many, many items between 3*-5* ever since the forging came out. At least 90% of these times I put in max fire crystals. I have yet to get a single prize box even though I really need some UVs and I am in no condition to be paying for Punches right now. (20,000 crowns lost on slime low for my Blitz Needle, ptff...)
On the other hand, I have a friend who is just now getting into 5* and really not looking for too much special. He rolled a 5* item once and got a forge prize box. He ended up with a bunch of sparks, pet food, and I believe a 3 UV Ticket.
This means the probability of getting a prize box depends on how much you DONT want one.
since the forge system was inserted into the game I have forged 3 helmets, 3 armor pieces, and 4 weapons. All of these pieces excluding 2 weapons were leveled all the way to 10, 5-star. So far I have received a grand total of 0 (zero) forge prize boxes.
So, rare enough, as we all know what happens when we divide zero.
http://forums.spiralknights.com/en/node/93101
My search brought up nothing. So I thought about getting people to chip in info so that we can start finding averages.