You are right. I never do accumulations in drawings since I like knowing the raw percents instead. I'm just discussing this with someone else and they told me that 200 would be 1.5% chance accumulated. I personally just like seeing 1/200 as .5% chance each time over anything else.
Though yes you are correct. Made me remember years ago I tried to figure out the actual chances of winning a lottery on a game and thats how I remember doing it with multipliers.
Alright well it was fun talking with you.. I have to go to some co-op games with friends now. Thanks for the discussion.
"Not the first time I've heard that."
I heard it from my economics teacher three years ago. Only other times I've heard it is when I'm saying it >.>
"for 200 is would be about .5% chance to win a prize. 1.5% chance added up."
Either my math is really, really rusty or I'm missing something here. That statement implies you're more likely to win all three prizes than to win just one. Aren't cumulative successes multiplied?
1/3 chance in success, 3 draws.
Chance of just 1 win: 1/3
Chance of two consecutive wins: 1/3 x 1/3= 1/9
Chance of three consecutive wins: 1/3 x 1/3 x 1/3= 1/27
The chances off a single success don't change, but considering each new draw is then pretty much the same draw done over, you'd have to have won the first to get the second 'in a row', hence the multiplication.